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CHAP. VII. OF PROGNOSTIC IN THE FEVERS OF JAMAICA.
TO be able to perceive at a distance, the approach of danger or returning health, is a knowledge highly satisfactory and useful to the physician; but it is a knowledge which is not easily attained: for to judge with certainty of the event of fevers, requires not only long and attentive observation, but a dis|crimination of complicated and ambiguous appear|ances, which does not depend always upon attention alone. The sagacious Hippocrates is generally con|sidered as the first, who laid the foundation of the science of prognostic; and we certainly must allow, that he has left us many important and valuable ob|servations on the subject; yet we may also add, that his decisions in many instances, are precipitate. Hippocrates seems generally to have placed too great confidence in signs separately considered, and to have formed his conclusions too often on the authority of single facts. Thus he has sometimes considered as fatal in themselves those signs, which in reality are only dangerous. The absolutely fatal signs in fevers are actually few in number. I am able to affirm, from my own experience, that people are sometimes restored to health after many of the usually reputed fore-runners of death are present. We have, in fact, as yet only an imperfect knowledge of prognostic in fevers; but the field is still open, and careful obser|vation, it is to be hoped, may enable us in time to supply the defects. I dare not venture to assert, that I have advanced beyond others in this necessary and difficult science; but I am disposed to flatter myself, that the following attempt to appreciate the marks of danger or safety in the fevers of Jamaica, may be