ï~~TABLE 5.-Excess 'weekly death rates- (annual:basis) pie
and pneumonia in a group of 35 cities 2 in the Uni
Median Medan
of year (smooth- (smooth- 1918 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924
ed) 1 ed) 1
Week-1910-16-1921-27
1--- 269 196--+524 +4 -9
2 272 207-- +59 +23 -5 -12 +74 --
4_- 274 219 +-----6--+55 +223 -33 -17' +67 -13
4---- 274 224- +6-- 8 +746 -40-111+71 -33
5--- 276 2OJ +545 +1 1 3
6-.-- 278 ' 57 -44 +43.1.+128- -8g
7+ 7 280 23 7-36 +82 +152 -11
87-- 280 238----- +21 +1826 -30 +37 +217 -20
84---- 285 218-- +285 +445 -27 +185 + 4X26-5
- 2 -207--19$ +142 +2+7 -4
10 -- 296 237 ---+206 +1106 _31 +122 }+170 -+3
12 293 ~2 +261- + 36 +90- +.90 +-5
13----. 293 224 ---+200r =+16 -56 +371+39 -19
12844-- 1 6 1 6 2 6 + 1 9 +
4i... 269 214 -. -188 -1-491 +6 2
--- 254:0_- -+68 0 6 1-1+2 -2
16 29 9=1 +6 +21
-217+ 223 177---2 -1 -57 33+14 1
18 207. 167-----4 -13 -50 7-+1 +14 -
1 -91-152-- -5 -S 60 12 +4
20 -- 175..137 -----32. +15. 32 - 1 0+ +1.
21---- 159 124 -----15 +02 6 + 10.
22_-- 143 113 ----18 +3 -31 -18 + +10.
23 127 107..----14 -3 -26 11+110
24- 112 91-- -29 -3 +29 +1 -821
25 101 82--~-36~-19 _ 2 -7+
5 1
26-7-. 94 CG72----1-4 -9 -22 9 ++13:
-22+
27----- 8 1-----89 C6 --11 -15 -20 -12 +4 0
28 842 61 -+2 -10 -15 -3 -3 {+2.
30- 80 5 - -5 -4 13 7 +-+ 24
++2 -5 7 +2 -5
32 --78 4--- -2 -
3--- 77 56 --- 8 -6 - - +{5 --4 -
F4 7, -.-a-1 9-3 +1933
34- 76 t 57------h - d -7 -1.2 I -1 s
35 76 58- -3 -16 +{2 -6 -10+3
36 -- 77 59 -----10 -7 -2 -7. +5 -}-+6
79___ 8 61 ---9 -2 0 -7 -3 -6 1
38.. 2 64 +}63 -3 -4 -5 -11+1.- -
39 8__ 8 67 +-}314 -5 -2 -g -8 +1 9
40 --- 96 74+-f1, 145 -5 -12 -12 --4 -1 +0
41_-- 103 81+2,659 + 1 1 1 -6T +180
313.. lb 90 +4,799 -12 -12 -01 -10. 6 + 18 +9
4322_11+4__ 8 9 - -6 -04
Â~--= 13 11 492 _--19-1144 114 110 +3,7176 -20 -24 -10, --2.6-7 140
---- 145 117 +1, 719 -24' -21 -21 +15 +8 +114
46--- 160. 126 +901 -31 -9 8 +1 1+0.'4
47--- 178 134 +568 -33 -7 -29 +}5 +4 -2l
48---- 198 140 +464 -21 -1 -25 +9 -9 +4 -49- - 218 145 +554 -7 -11 -24 +13 -6 }+428
50_-- 236 156 +737 -1 -4 -25..24 -3+3.
51--- 251 170 +}770 -1 -23 -28 +23 -14 +2I-30
52--- 262 185 +638 -16 +1 -31 -+23 33 -12+
- 10 +5 ------- ------ ------ -----+9 -'.From July 1, 1919,.to Jan. 1, 1930, the excesses are-colnputeds85deviations
for the correspo n'ding week for the period 1921-1927. 'The srt e if re t w ek -o t e e r e r ie s of 52 byea5 -deviations were computed. The smoothed medians are the values in the thirdc.period prior to July 1, 1919, the excesses are computed as deviations from an osti:
the corresponding week for the period 1910-1916. As weekly data were not avail
rates (annua.l basis) and medians were computed. The median rates-were plot
Sag through each of the 12' monthly medians was drawn to represent the seasc
irlflusaza and pneumonia. From this graph. the approximate medians for each
Th) nedians so derived are the values in the second umn t able.:2t Aggregate enumerated populationinta920 census, 20,440,548; aggregate
3,2,o.Forlist of'cities, see footnote to Table 3.
+x33'
+6
+}21
+7
-12
+4
0
+}8
+10
+14
1912
-4
-8
-30
-34
-8
0'
0
0
+x22
+3
+g
oS (annual basis) per 100,O000f rominfluenza
'citie 2 in the United States,.1910-1919
1913 1914 19,15 1916 1917 1918 - 1919
0 -14 -43 +153 +108 +27 +575
+30 0 -25 -16 +63 +22 +282
-3 +15 0 -44 -3 +86 +175
-36 0 +38 -42 -11 +119 +13
+5 0 -30 -13- -78 -10 -31
+21 -6 +5 -7 +3 -26 '-37
+}1' -9' -6 '-3: -11.-13 -28
- --9 --10 0 0 11 '-24 '-26
+5 -3 '-3 -1 +4 +188 -18
'.0 -13. '-2 0. +16 +3,482 -32
0 -9' --4 0,. +18 +{817 -53
-44 -41 '+116 0. -12 +604 -79
ne medianIIUÂ~-iWOu
umoirated population in 1920 census, 20,440,548, aggregate estimated 1928 population,
lis. of cities, see footnote to Table 3.
iations summarized in these two tables a reshown graphigure 1. The upper section, corresponding to the data in
shows deviations by months, from January, 1910, to
)18, while the bottom section, corresponding to the data
shows deviations by weeks beginning in September,:1918.
Dpect to Figure 1 it should be noted that the graphic repre)f excess mortalities by months, in the upper section, is not
comparable with that by weeks,'as given in the lower secdeath rates in both sections are on an annual basis, hence
rable in that respect; but since a monthly'rate is the mean
d of mome than four weeks, it can not equal the maximum
single week, except in the rare case where this exact rate is
for every week in the period. It follows 'that in any given
axcess mortality the peak is higher if the rates are given by
n if they are stated by months, the extent of the difference
upon the explosiveness of the epidemic and upon whether it
y within a single month or is more evenly 'divided between
wever,. the discrepancies between weekly and monthly rates,
Y be very great in a single compact population unit, are not
hen the population is made up of a group of cities widely
over such a large area as that of the United States.
g to the upper section of Figure 1, and to T able 6, which
ds, it is seen that throughout the year 1910, and orthp
months of 1911, mortality is generally above the "norm,,'
utnotable concentration of the excess in any single month
o or three successive months. From June, 1911, to Decemdeath rates are generally below the norm, negative deviag more frequent and usually larger than the positive ones.
in April, 1915, there is an excess mortality which, though
an absolute sense, deserves to be noted, because it comes
eriod of low death rates and makes a peak which, measured