Reports on HIV/AIDS: 1990

NOVEMBER 30, 1990, MMWR, Vol. 39, RR-16 [inclusive page numbers]
AIDS incidence is also projected to continue to increase through 1993 among each
of the principal racial/ethnic groups, as well as among both men and women (Table
B4). The proportions of AIDS cases among blacks, Hispanics, and women have
increased since the first half of 1987: among blacks, from approximately 25% in early
1987 to 30% in 1989; among Hispanics, from 15% in early 1987 to 16%-17% in 1989;
and among women, from 9% in early 1987 to 11% in 1989. A major reason for these
changes is the increase in the number of AIDS cases among IVDUs reported after the
1987 revision of the AIDS case definition (B4).
TABLE B4. Projected numbers* of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)
cases, by race/ethnicity and gender, United States, 1989-1993

Race/ethnicity Gender
Year White Black Hispanic Male Female
1989, 24,000-25,000 14,000-15,000 7,000-8,000 40,000-43,000 5,000-6,000
1990 26,000-28,000 17,000-18,000 9,000-10,000 45,000-50,000 6,000-7,000
1991 26,000-33,000 19,000-24,000 10,000-12,000 48,000-61,000 7,000-9,000
1992 26,000-38,000 21,000-30,000 10,000-15,000 51,000-73,000 8,000-12,000
1993 26,000-42,000 23,000-37,000 11,000-18,000 52,000-83,000 9,000-15,000
Cumulative
total
through
1993' 195.000-235,000 125,000-155,000 65,000-80,000 345,000-420,000 50,000-60,000

*Adjusted for unreported cases; see footnote to Table B3.
tRounded to the nearest 5,000. Includes the following numbers of cases estimated to have been
diagnosed through 1988: 69,000 among whites; 32,000 among blacks; 18,000 among
Hispanics; 109,000 among men; and 12,000 among women.
References
81. CDC. Human immunodeficiency virus in the United States: a review of current knowledge.
MMWR 1987;36(Suppl S-6).
B2. Gail MH, Brookmeyer R. Methods for projecting course of acquired immunodeficiency
syndrome epidemic. J Natl Cancer Inst 1988;80:900-11.
B3. CDC. Update: acquired immunodeficiency syndrome-United States, 1989. MMWR 1990;
39:81-6.
B4. Selik RM. Current epidemiologic trends of AIDS in the United States in the context of the
1987 revision of the case definition. In: P Volberding and MA Jacobson, eds. AIDS clinical
review 1990. New York: Marcel Dekker, 1990:11-24.

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